Topics / AI Policy & Regulation
AI Policy & Regulation
Two governments are drawing lines around AI at once, and in 2026 the lines moved from chips toward almost everything else. Washington extended its export controls from hardware toward model access and whole product categories, ordering a top US lab to cut its best models off from foreign nationals and barring Chinese robots from the market before they arrived; Beijing rewired procurement toward domestic silicon, blocked the offshore sale of Chinese-built AI, banned Nvidia purchases at home, and began writing the safety standards its own market will run on. The policy layer often moves the industry more than any single model, so we track both capitals with dates and sources.
The state of play
- The clearest 2026 shift is that US controls moved past chips to the models themselves. On 12 June 2026 the US ordered Anthropic to suspend its two highest-capability models for every foreign national in the world, including those physically inside the United States, the first time a model rather than a chip was treated as an export-controlled item; Anthropic disputed the severity of the cited vulnerability but complied. The immediate effect ran the other way, pushing the Chinese developer community, which leans heavily on Claude for coding, toward open-weight domestic alternatives such as Moonshot’s Kimi K2.6, DeepSeek V4-Pro and Zhipu’s GLM-5.2 (Anthropic newsroom statement; V2EX, via CAD, “The Cutoff”).
- Washington then fenced out an entire hardware category before it arrived. On 28 July 2026 the FCC added “foreign-produced advanced robotic devices” to its Covered List, so new humanoid and four-legged robots can no longer get the authorization they need to enter the US market, effective immediately, with Chinese-made power inverters swept in on the same national-security argument. Unlike the DJI drone controls, which came after Chinese drones already owned the market, this gate came down before the product did: China builds more humanoid robots than any country but almost none are inside US factories yet. Many non-Chinese makers are expected to win Pentagon exemptions, and in the December 2025 drone precedent none of the four exempted foreign devices was Chinese (BBC; Reuters; CNN, via CAD, “The Preemption”).
- Beijing has built its own gate on the way out. The National Development and Reform Commission blocked Meta’s roughly 2-billion-dollar acquisition of Manus, a Singapore-incorporated but Chinese-built AI-agent company, and ordered it unwound; state broadcaster CCTV named the structure 洗澡式出海 (“Singapore-washing”), and Beijing’s stated test is where the technology, people and data came from, not the legal address. It is a functional equivalent of the United States’ CFIUS, pointed at Chinese-origin technology trying to leave the country (NDRC; CCTV; Wall Street Journal, via CAD, “The Singapore Clause”).
- China is now turning its chip and model rules outward too. Its internet regulator formally banned major domestic tech companies from buying Nvidia AI chips after summoning Huawei, Cambricon, Alibaba and Baidu and concluding domestic accelerators had matched or passed the Nvidia parts still allowed under US controls; and the country that built its lead on open weights is, per the Financial Times, weighing export controls on its own AI models, training data and chip technology. Read next to the US moves, both sides are raising walls at once, and the shared global AI stack that everyone built on starts to come apart (Financial Times, via CAD, “The Exit” and “The Preemption”).
- Beijing also has an industrial-policy instrument that has no Western equivalent, and it is not a subsidy. On 3 June 2026 MIIT and SASAC jointly issued 工信厅联科函〔2026〕256号, which does not pay for humanoid robots but instructs the organisations the state owns to open their work stations to them: at least ten real scenes per designated central enterprise, at least twenty per named province, targeting more than a hundred high-value scenarios and ten-thousand-unit deployment capability by end-2026, with results due 30 November. Subsidies and cheap credit are the tools most coverage tracks; this one conscripts workplaces, an asset the Chinese state owns at a scale no Western government does, and the output it is buying is the real-world operating data the field is short of. Whether that produces working deployments or paperwork is the open question, and China’s own 2021 autonomous-driving buildout is the cautionary precedent rather than the encouraging one (MIIT and SASAC notice, read in full; via CAD, “The Internship”).
- At home, Beijing is writing the rulebook the market will run on. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued GB 44721-2026, China’s first compulsory safety standard for L3 and L4 automated driving, upgrading a 2024 recommended standard to a required one that takes effect in July 2027 and covers both passenger and goods vehicles, and the same window brought a first national standard system for humanoid robots and embodied intelligence. On the consumer side the two-year AI price war ended as all three major clouds raised prices in one quarter, a sign the market is maturing from subsidy toward industrial deployment, where IDC data cited by the NDRC puts industrial-enterprise AI penetration up from about 9.6 to 47.5 percent in a year (ithome, via CAD, “The Cheap End”; CAD, “The Preemption”; IDC via NDRC, via CAD, “The Price War Is Over”).
Best issues on this topic
- Spain and Croatia Opened Public Roads to Chinese Robotaxis
Spain’s Dirección General de Tráfico issued the country’s first operating licence for a Level 4 autonomous passenger vehicle on 10 September, and it went jointly to three companies: WeRide, Uber, and AVOMO, the self-driving unit of the Spanish rental group Moove Cars, with the Madrid city government supporting the application. The permit was granted under Spain’s ES-AV framework and clears the three of them to put vehicles on public roads, with commercial service to the public expected before the end of 2026 once the operating and regulatory conditions are met. Madrid is the fourth city in a WeRide and Uber plan the two say will reach 15 cities and tens of thousands of vehicles before 2030, and WeRide says it is now the only company whose products hold autonomous-driving permits in nine countries, naming China, Spain, Switzerland, Belgium, France, Singapore, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and the United States. The same morning Pony.ai and the mobility operator Verne said they had begun fully driverless robotaxi passenger testing on public roads in Zagreb, which they call the first anywhere in Europe. Set against both, Anfia chairman Roberto Vavassori asked the EU for an 80 percent tariff on Chinese vehicles and parts above a quota of 8 percent of annual new-car registrations, per Reuters, on top of the combined 18 to 45 percent the 2024 measure already charges Chinese electric vehicles. The proposal covers vehicles and parts and says nothing about software, fleet operations or a permit: a tariff is charged on an object crossing a border, and an operating licence is granted for a service performed inside one. In both deals that day the Chinese company supplied the driving stack while a European operator supplied the cars, the depot, the insurance and the relationship with the regulator, which is a template that travels without a vehicle being imported. Nine permits is nine permissions and no commercial service, Madrid is an expectation for later this year, and Zagreb is a test with passengers in it.
- China’s Compute Grew 177 Percent. Its 2030 Plan Asks for 40.
MIIT issued its five-year plan for the information and communications industry on 7 September, thirteen headline indicators across twenty-six tasks and six areas, and set intelligent computing capacity at 9,800 EFLOPS by the end of 2030. The base it grows from is 2,185 EFLOPS at the end of June 2026, measured at FP16 and up 177 percent year on year, so moving to 9,800 over four and a half years works out at roughly 40 percent a year compounded against a trailing twelve months that ran at 177. The plan asks for the orderly deployment of ten-thousand-card and hundred-thousand-card clusters, and MIIT put occupancy across national computing facilities at 71.4 percent at the same July briefing, so close to three in ten of the capacity already built is not in service. Three of the thirteen indicators are efficiency or carbon measures, including the power usage effectiveness of newly built large and hyperscale facilities. The money side puts cumulative information infrastructure investment at 3.8 trillion yuan across 2026 to 2030 and industry revenue at 4.1 trillion by 2030; at the onshore rate of 6.7105 yuan to the dollar on 8 September that investment figure is about 566 billion dollars, where English coverage rendered it as 532 billion, implying a rate near 7.14 that nothing traded at in that week. Chinese banks spent August building collateral for it: Agricultural Bank put a Token loan scheme into Shanghai and Zhejiang, Bank of Chengdu ran a pure credit product capped at 5 million yuan per borrower and backed by compute vouchers, and Zhangjiagang Rural Commercial Bank set aside a 2 billion yuan facility, underwritten on token consumption, compute service contract value and receivables from compute work.
- Doubao, Qwen and ERNIE Now Answer for Their Training Corpus
The Cyberspace Administration published a phase-two note on its Qinglang campaign against chaos in AI applications on 2 September, and it places obligations at three points in the pipeline rather than one. Platforms including Douyin, Weibo, Tencent and Xiaohongshu are named for expanding face, voiceprint and violation sample libraries, with 46 governance announcements published between them. Four model products, Doubao, Yuanbao, Qwen and ERNIE, are told to guard the content review pass on original training corpora and to label AI-generated synthetic content so as to prevent illegal information at source, which is an obligation on the pre-training set rather than on a feed. The third layer is distribution: Huawei, Xiaomi, OPPO and vivo are named as setting developer admission standards for AI applications and spot re-testing apps already listed, so four handset makers become the admission gate. The note landed one year and one day after the labelling Measures took effect on 1 September 2025. No published standard, audit or methodology sits behind the corpus clause, so what changed this week is scope rather than enforcement capability.
- China’s L3 Rules Turn Mandatory on July 1, 2027
China’s L3 autonomous-driving standard becomes a condition of sale. GB 44721-2026, issued by the State Administration for Market Regulation and the Standardization Administration on 30 July 2026 and effective 1 July 2027, drops the T from the recommended GB/T 44721-2024 and so turns mandatory, enforced through type approval: after that date a passenger or goods vehicle whose L3 or L4 system falls short of it does not get sold in China. The L3 clauses reach past the vehicle to the person in it, requiring seatbelt monitoring, occupancy monitoring and monitoring of the driver’s capacity to take the wheel back, which makes interior sensing a compliance item rather than a feature. Huawei’s Luxeed brand said the RX has already entered L3 type-approval testing, ten months before the rule binds, and Horizon Robotics put its share of basic ADAS on domestic-brand passenger cars at 50.02 percent in the first half, its first time above half, on 2.055 billion yuan of customer contract revenue.
- The Register
The Central Cyberspace Affairs Commission published a 2026 to 2030 action plan for cyber-information enterprises on 21 August: seven actions and twenty-one measures. Measure 1 orders a continuously updated national database of these firms, with classification and grading standards sorting them into three named tiers. Measure 19 tells regulators to speed up domestic listing review and to open non-IPO exits through S-funds and M&A funds, and tells banks to treat patents, trademarks and data as credit-assessment inputs. Measure 16 orders administrative inspections regulated so as to minimise disruption to normal operations, and Measure 5 names high-end AI chips, high-performance training clusters, world models, agents and embodied intelligence.
- The Internship
Forty-eight central state-owned enterprises appeared together at the World Robot Conference in Beijing on 19 August, showing twelve application scenarios under a joint MIIT and SASAC notice that orders each central enterprise to open at least ten real work stations and each designated province at least twenty, targeting more than a hundred high-value scenarios by the end of 2026. The next morning on the same stage Unitree founder Wang Xingxing said robots are not yet efficient or general enough to be rolled out into factories at scale, and put embodied AI’s ChatGPT moment two to three years away at best. His stock fell 16.05 percent that day.
- The Preemption
On 28 July 2026 the FCC added foreign-produced advanced robotic devices to its Covered List, barring new Chinese humanoid and four-legged robots from the US market before they had arrived, with power inverters swept in on the same national-security argument. Beijing called it protectionism and, per the Financial Times, weighed export controls on its own AI models, training data and chip technology.
- The Cutoff
US Commerce ordered a leading AI lab to cut its two most capable models off from all foreign nationals worldwide, then reversed it a week later. Export controls reached model access, and retreated.
- The Singapore Clause
China’s NDRC blocked Meta’s roughly 2 billion dollar acquisition of an agent startup that had reincorporated in Singapore, ordering the deal unwound. State media called it "Singapore-washing."
- The Exit
China’s Cyberspace Administration barred major domestic firms from buying Nvidia AI chips, citing an assessment that domestic parts now match them. The control now cuts both ways.
- The Supplier
An interagency committee cleared CXMT for the US Entity List, but Commerce has not updated it since October 2025, the longest pause in a decade, because the two sides are mid-negotiation.
- The Cheap End
China’s delivery robots crossed the cost line: Neolix says its per-vehicle cost fell more than half in two years to below 10,000 dollars, moving a parcel 25 to 35 percent cheaper than a human courier. The logistics industry projects 860,000 units a year by 2030, and the startup AIROBO closed the field’s largest first round the same week a Shenzhen circuit-board and chip-design platform, JLC, opened more than 170 percent above its offer price.
- The Price War Is Over
The US House Select Committee documented the workarounds, legal procurement, smuggling and distillation, and noted China remains the largest market for chipmaking equipment despite the controls.
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Common questions
How is the United States restricting Chinese AI in 2026?
On more layers than chips. It kept the hardware controls that bar advanced accelerators, then extended them into software and finished products: in June 2026 it ordered Anthropic to cut its two top models off from all foreign nationals, treating a model itself as an export-controlled item, and in July the FCC barred foreign-made advanced robots and power inverters from the US market before they had arrived. The direction of travel is from chips toward model access and whole product categories.
What is the FCC Covered List robot ban?
On 28 July 2026 the FCC added foreign-produced advanced robotic devices to its Covered List, the register of products deemed a national-security risk, so new humanoid and four-legged robots cannot get the authorization they need to be sold in the United States. It is preemptive: China builds more humanoid robots than any country but almost none are in US factories yet, so unlike the earlier DJI drone case the restriction arrived before the product did. Many non-Chinese robot makers are expected to win Pentagon exemptions, which is how a rule that reads as global can be closed to one supplier and left open for the rest.
Does China control the export of its own AI?
Increasingly, yes. Beijing blocked Meta’s acquisition of Manus, a Singapore-incorporated but Chinese-built AI company, and named the “Singapore-washing” exit it now prohibits, giving it a CFIUS-like gate on Chinese-origin technology. It also banned domestic tech giants from buying Nvidia chips, and the Financial Times reports it is weighing export controls on its own AI models, training data and chip technology, a notable turn for the country that built its lead on open weights.
How does China regulate AI at home?
Through procurement, deal review and safety standards rather than one omnibus AI law. It steers state and industry buying toward domestic chips and models, reviews and blocks sensitive foreign deals, and is writing the technical rulebook the market runs on, from GB 44721-2026, its first compulsory L3 and L4 self-driving safety standard, effective July 2027, to a new national standard system for humanoid robots. On the consumer side the multi-year AI price war ended in 2026 as the major clouds raised prices, a shift from subsidy toward industrial deployment.